Here are a few notes in advance of this year's annual report (due Monday).
Market cap £25m at 65p
2006 full year
Revenue £60m
Profit £7m
Shareholder equity £28m
2007 interims
Half way through the year equity was up to £33m.
Everything was going well.
2007 full year
Results are not yet out, but trading updates are full of negative noises:
- "The Company expects to meet market expectations in respect of revenues but to fall significantly short of profit expectations".
- The fall of the US dollar has hurt them - revenue is in dollars, costs aren't.
- Its Uzbekistan operations has gone bankrupt. Cost of writing this off and associated legal costs: about £4m.
- It has accidentally created some Calcium Molybdenum in Mongolia, which needs reprocessing. Total value at risk: £6m.
The annual results should be out on Monday 12th May. I will have a look - it sounds interesting! This company appears to be quite accident-prone, but if they're a bargain, they're a bargain...
FutureThe weak US dollar could continue for some time (and could get worse).
The Uzbekistan problems will obviously lead to writeoffs and lower profits.
The Mongolia problem is hopefully just a short term blip.
The real question though: what will they cock-up next?
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