Wednesday, 15 June 2022
TAG Immobilien
Wednesday, 16 March 2022
Ferrexpo: FXPO.L
Buy shares in a Ukrainian company while Putin is invading. Why not?
Not a large position, paid just under 149p (on 14th March). The P/E ratio is somewhere below 2. The downsides are pretty obvious:
- Right now production is probably zero. I assume the workforce has more important things to do.
- Even if they're still producing they can't ship their product anywhere.
- If Russian forces make it to Ferrexpo's production facilities they might level them.
- If there's a long-term occupation then Russia might seize ownership of Ferrexpo or their assets.
- Even if Ukraine kick out Russian forces they might nationalize industry or levy punitive taxes as part of their economic recovery plan.
- Putin probably (hopefully) regrets getting into this and right now just wants to get sufficient leverage to cut a favourable peace deal.
- Ferrexpo is based in the middle of the country. The war will be won or lost before the Russians get that far.
- They're cheap, and apart from the war they look pretty good quality - no debt, investing in improving the quality of their product, stupendous margins.
- I'm not taking advantage of anyone, just buying at the market price. Indeed if there are Ukrainians who want to sell because they need ready cash, and everyone stopped buying, then that would clearly be a bad outcome.
- I don't have a problem with what the company itself is doing.
- I have no conflict of interest - owning Ferrexpo shares isn't going to make me start supporting Putin.
Wednesday, 5 January 2022
More AV-A
Bought some more Aviva preference shares at 155p, just to take my holding up to a reasonable size. It's now about 7% of my portfolio.
Saturday, 1 January 2022
2021 review
My portfolio earned 23% in 2021 vs about 17% for the FTSE 100 and 30% for the S&P 500 in sterling terms (all including dividends). I bought some more SEDY in October but otherwise left it alone.
BRK-B and Barclays returned about 30% while Aviva prefs and Plus 500 did nothing.
At the end of the year BRK-B were about 57% of the portfolio, SEDY and NWBD 12, Barclays 9, Plus 500 7, Aviva prefs 4.
I don't see many tempting avenues for investment right now, and if nothing changes over the next 12 months I'll probably just reluctantly stick more money into SEDY and possibly also some more Aviva prefs or similar.