Monday, 7 January 2013

Review of 2012

Rather than summarizing, I think it's simplest to list my transactions in 2012:
  • January.  Bought some more Game Group, on the premise that they were either going to 10-bag or were going bankrupt.  Sold all Maxima and Bond shares, to realise tax losses.
  • March.  Sold all my Game Group shares, upon realising (correctly) that bankruptcy was overwhelmingly likely.
  • April.  Bought some more Tesco shares, because they were too cheap.
That's it.  So I finish the year with a mere 5 shareholdings: Berkshire Hathaway, Tesco, Natwest perpetual 9% preference shares, BP, IS15 (Short-dated corporate bond ETF).  

NWBD was the outstanding performer over the year with a return of 47% (including dividends).  Berkshire Hathaway and IS15 delivered an acceptable return of 12% and 10% respectively, while BP and Tesco let the side down with falls of 3% and 5%.

I've just enhanced my portfolio tracker to report annual performance figures.  These differ a fair bit to those I've previously reported, but I think they're more accurate (and now I can report consistent numbers each year):
  • 2008:  Down 70.2%.  Portfolio was small.
  • 2009:  Up 62.6%.  Portfolio was medium.
  • 2010:  Up 17.6%.  Portfolio was large.
  • 2011:  Down 14.8%.  Portfolio was small.
  • 2012: Up 10.1%.  Portfolio was medium.
My annual return over the 5 years has been 14.7%, but that's only because my bad years have come when I've had a small portfolio and the good years have come with a medium or large portfolio (if small=1 then medium=2 and large=4).  If I'd been fully invested throughout then my return would have been minus 11%.

So far in 2013 (yes, all 9 days of it) I'm up 3.5%.

Update:
Reworked performance report after enhancing my portfolio tracker to report accurate numbers.  The previous report was not 1st January to 1st January, but something like 6th January to 4th January - turns out that makes a massive difference to my return over the year - first week of 2012 was a disaster and first week of 2013 has been stellar.